German election 2025: A key vote that could reshape Europe and US relations
As Europe reassesses ties with the Trump administration, the outcome of the national elections in Germany will be crucial.
On Sunday, February 23, 2025, German citizens are heading to cast their votes in a pivotal election with significant implications for domestic and international relations. This election is closely monitored by other European countries and the United States, as its outcome is expected to influence the geopolitical landscape amidst ongoing global challenges.
Germany is currently struggling with an economic crisis, with concerns about inflation and stagnation at the forefront of voter priorities. The next government will have to address job growth, industrial investment, and energy policy, especially as tensions with the US rise over potential tariffs under President Donald Trump’s administration.
German elections 2025: What to expect
The center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), headed by Friedrich Merz, leads the polls with around 28% to 32% support. Merz's platform focuses on economic recovery, tax cuts, and deregulation. This positions Germany as a strong leader in Europe, as he advocates for stricter immigration policies. His stand on the matter has sparked debate.
Chancellor Olaf Scholz and his Social Democratic (SPD) are facing some issues, with polls predicting around 20% of the vote, indicating one of the party's worst performances. The chances of re-election are not so high. On the other hand, the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), led by Alice Weidel, is gaining traction with nearly 20% of the vote, the strongest showing to date. The party's EU-skeptic policies attracted voters searching for economic stability.
Europe and US relations: What is at stake?
Germany’s election will shape US relations, especially regarding trade, NATO funding, and tariffs. A CDU-led government, for example, could potentially align with the US on defense but clash on trade, especially if Trump imposes tariffs on German car exports. Meanwhile, a weaker SPD or fragmented coalition might struggle to maintain strong diplomatic ties with Washington, which leads to diplomatic uncertainty.
In addition to that, Germany’s leadership is key to the EU’s stability. CDU win might push for tighter immigration and deregulation, while a divided government could weaken EU reforms. The role Germany has in supporting Ukraine amid the ongoing war with Russia remains a critical issue. The election outcome will shape the country’s future stance on Ukraine and NATO, as well as Europe’s defense strategy against Russia.